Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Today
DL 2015 · LGA → MSP
departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 8:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
76%
chance · ±0 pts
+58 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
76%
Leave 15+ late
79%
Arrive 1h+ late
59%
Cancelled
15%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +58 pts in 24h
+58 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +57 pts in 24h
+57 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +55 pts in 24h
+55 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
55%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.