DL 2107 · MSP → SNA

departs 6:58 PM CT · arrives 8:57 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +50 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
19%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2107 · MSP → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?