DL 2271 · DEN → MSP

departs 4:08 PM MT · arrives 7:15 PM CT

Your aircraft is N391DN (A321), coming in as DL 530 from ATL: landed 4:00 PM MT.

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +82 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
79%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2271 · DEN → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?