DL 2402 · DTW → PHL

departs 9:35 PM ET · arrives 11:16 PM ET

Your aircraft is N891AT (B712), coming in as DL 1546 from BWI: landed 2:24 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +51 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
42%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
25%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2402 · DTW → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?