DL 2578 · DTW → AUS

departs 8:09 PM ET · arrives 10:07 PM CT

Your aircraft is N339NB (A319).

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2578 · DTW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?