DL 2815 · ATL → EYW

departs 5:53 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM ET

Your aircraft is N366NB (A319), coming in as DL 2632 from OMA: landed 3:18 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EYW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ EYW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EYW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2815 · ATL → EYW

Odds over time

How late will it get to EYW?