Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2977
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Today
DL 2977 · MSP → YVR
departs 6:43 PM CT · arrives 9:32 PM MST
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±0 pts
+51 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
79%
Arrive 1h+ late
50%
Cancelled
24%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +51 pts in 24h
+51 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +60 pts in 24h
+60 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +47 pts in 24h
+47 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at YVR that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 4 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
YVR (destination)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 3,233 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.