DL 848 · SEA → AUS

departs 5:50 PM PT · arrives 11:53 PM CT

Your aircraft is N323DU (BCS3), coming in as DL 1412 from SFO: landed 4:03 PM PT.

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +54 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
19%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

AUS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 848 · SEA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?