Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 848 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

DL 848 · SEA → AUS

departs 5:50 PM PT · arrives 11:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ SEA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.22 in

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 848 · SEA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?