OO 4088 · MSP → MSN

departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +42 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSN at that hour are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4088 · MSP → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?