OO 5875 · SFO → BFL

departs 8:59 PM PT · arrives 10:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +54 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BFL?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
49%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BFL

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

BFL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5875 · SFO → BFL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BFL?