Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5875
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 5875 · SFO → BFL
departs 9:36 PM PT · arrives 10:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 76%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 24%
Thu 11/19 26%
Fri 11/20 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
50%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at BFL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to BFL?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
9pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BFL
↓
BFL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.42 in
BFL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.