SY 388 · RSW → MSP

took off 8:25 PM ET · expected to land 10:29 PM CT (scheduled 8:19 PM ET → 11:25 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 388 · RSW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?