tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1983 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1983 · ORD → SNA

departs 4:22 PM CT · arrives 6:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±5 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SNA?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.