UA 2036 · SJU → EWR

departs 7:28 PM AT · arrives 10:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

EWR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2036 · SJU → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?