Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2036 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

UA 2036 · SJU → EWR

departs 7:29 PM AT · arrives 10:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2036 · SJU → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?