Schedule: FAA flight plans.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 474
DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:18 PM CST (3 H 48 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today
UA 474 · MEX → ORD
departs 3:14 PM CST · arrives 7:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to ORD?
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On time or early
74%
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15–30 min late
13%
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30 min–1 hour late
7%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.