Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 474SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 474 · MEX → ORD
departs 3:14 PM CST · arrives 7:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26%chance · ±2 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.