Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 1008 · BWI → MIA
departs 5:57 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 11/13 42%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 47%
Mon 11/16 34%
Tue 11/17 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.