Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1041 LANDED 1:55 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

WN 1041 · BWI → JAX

took off 12:15 AM ET · landed 1:55 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12am departures from BWI are often late

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAX (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1041 · BWI → JAX

Odds over time