WN 1118 · DAL → PHX

departs 6:58 PM CT · arrives 8:37 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

PHX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1118 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?