Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1118 · DAL → PHX
departs 6:19 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 39%
Tue 11/17 32%
Wed 11/18 35%
Thu 11/19 50%
Fri 11/20 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.49 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.