WN 1550 · HOU → DCA

departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 9:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1550 · HOU → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?