Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 1924 · DAL → OAK
departs 4:52 PM CT · arrives 6:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 66%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18 31%
Thu 11/19 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 4,333 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.