Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1924 · DAL → OAK
departs 4:37 PM CT · arrives 6:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 11/14 41%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18 31%
Thu 11/19 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.43 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.