Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2466 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, November 14

WN 2466 · MIA → MDW

departs 2:57 PM ET · arrives 5:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±5 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2466 · MIA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?