Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2645
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 2645 · SFO → LAX
departs 5:57 PM PT · arrives 7:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 94%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 91%
Mon 11/16 47%
Tue 11/17 55%
Wed 11/18 47%
Thu 11/19 58%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.