Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2808
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 2808 · SAN → SFO
departs 2:06 PM PT · arrives 3:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 100%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 49%
Mon 11/16 49%
Thu 11/19 56%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±8 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.