Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2808
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2808 · SAN → SFO
departs 1:25 PM PT · arrives 3:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 49%
Thu 11/19 56%
Fri 11/20 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
34%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.