Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2842
SCHEDULED
Saturday, November 14 Today
WN 2842 · MCO → PIT
departs 8:53 PM ET · arrives 11:18 PM ET
Your aircraft is N8907L (B38M), coming in as WN 1625 from CMH: in the air, landing about 9:43 PM ET, 60 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 25%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 36%
Fri 11/20 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
100%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 130 min after the scheduled departure, about 113 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 28%.
−5 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 130 min after the scheduled departure, about 113 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 38%.
+0 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 130 min after the scheduled departure, about 113 min late from the gate after a typical 17-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 9%.
−1 pt
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.