Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2842 · MCO → PIT
departs 9:58 PM ET · arrives 12:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 25%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 36%
Fri 11/20 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.