WN 294 · BNA → CLT

departs 2:44 PM CT · arrives 5:06 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8533S (B738), coming in as WN 4225 from TPA: landed 12:23 AM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 294 · BNA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?