Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3341 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 6:33 PM PT (2 H 44 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

WN 3341 · BUR → OAK

departs 3:34 PM PT · arrives 4:58 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8697C (B738), coming in as WN 148 from SJC: still at SJC, due off about 5:36 PM PT, 173 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at BUR that day

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.04 in

OAK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3341 · BUR → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?