Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 3497 · SFO → BUR
departs 3:10 PM PT · arrives 4:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 87%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 84%
Mon 11/16 44%
Tue 11/17 45%
Wed 11/18 40%
Thu 11/19 56%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,533 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.