Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 3497 · SFO → BUR
departs 2:25 PM PT · arrives 3:49 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 72%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 63%
Tue 11/17 45%
Wed 11/18 40%
Thu 11/19 56%
Fri 11/20 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
75%
Arrive 1h+ late
52%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.39 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.