Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 4058 · DAL → BNA
departs 3:42 PM CT · arrives 5:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 44%
Mon 11/16 27%
Tue 11/17 29%
Wed 11/18 32%
Thu 11/19 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.