AA 1027 · MIA → GUA

departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Arrivals into GUA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1027 · MIA → GUA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUA?