Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1256 SCHEDULED

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

AA 1256 · BUF → CLT

departs 7:34 PM ET · arrives 9:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1256 · BUF → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?