Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1487 SCHEDULED

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

AA 1487 · ORD → SAT

departs 8:53 PM CT · arrives 11:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ 8pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1487 · ORD → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?