AA 1586 · CHS → CLT

departs 8:27 PM ET · arrives 9:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1586 · CHS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?