Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1610 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

AA 1610 · DEN → CLT

departs 10:12 AM MT · arrives 3:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1610 · DEN → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?