tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1770 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1770 · DFW → DCA

departs 12:04 PM CT · arrives 4:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    20%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.