AA 1774 · GUA → MIA

departs 4:09 PM CST · arrives 7:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GUA

Weather at each end

GUA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1774 · GUA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?