AA 2395 · MIA → GUA

departs 1:25 PM ET · arrives 3:14 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Arrivals into GUA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2395 · MIA → GUA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUA?