tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2494 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2494 · MIA → CUN

departs 8:42 AM ET · arrives 10:34 AM EST
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at CUN more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CUN?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.