AA 3187 · ORF → CLT

departs 6:13 PM ET · arrives 7:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
36%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3187 · ORF → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?