Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3198SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 3198 · JAX → DCA
departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.