AA 36 · DFW → MAD

departs 3:52 PM CT · arrives 7:48 AM CET

Your aircraft is N777AN (B772).

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MAD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.64 in

MAD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 36 · DFW → MAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAD?