Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
DL 1205 · AVL → LGA
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.