Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2683
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
DL 2683 · MSP → IAH
departs 6:40 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 20%
Tue 11/17 26%
Wed 11/18 30%
Thu 11/19 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.